Browse by Author or Creator

2018

Wright, George and Cairns, George and O'Brien, Frances and Goodwin, Paul (2018) Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential. European Journal of Operational Research. ISSN 0377-2217 (In Press)

2017

Cairns, George and Wright, George (2017) Scenario Thinking : Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World. Palgrave McMillan. ISBN 9783319490670

Rowe, Emily and Wright, George and Derbyshire, James (2017) Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios : analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important 'weak signals'. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ISSN 0040-1625 (In Press)

Wright, George and Meadows, Maureen and Tapinos, Stathis and O'Brien, Frances and Pyper, Neil (2017) Improving scenario methodology - theory and practice : Introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ISSN 0040-1625 (In Press)

Cairns, George and Wright, George and Fairbrother, Peter and Phillips, Richard (2017) ‘Branching scenarios’ seeking articulated action for regional regeneration – a case study of limited success. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ISSN 0040-1625 (In Press)

2016

Bolger, Fergus and Wright, George (2016) Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future : issues, analysis and directions. International Journal of Forecasting. pp. 1-28. ISSN 0169-2070 (In Press)

Bryson, Stephanie and Grime, Megan Michelle and Murthy, Adarsh and Wright, George (2016) Behavioural issues in the practical application of scenario thinking : cognitive biases, effective group facilitation, and overcoming business-as-usual thinking. In: Behavioural Operational Research. Palgrave McMillan, London. ISBN 978-1-137-53551-1

Bradfield, Ronald and Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2016) The critical role of history in scenario thinking : augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology. Futures, 77. pp. 56-66. ISSN 0016-3287

Cairns, George and Wright, George and Fairbrother, Peter (2016) Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios : a case analysis of the use of ‘scenario improvisation’ method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 103. pp. 97-108. ISSN 0040-1625

Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2016) Augmenting the Intuitive Logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation. International Journal of Forecasting. ISSN 0169-2070 (In Press)

Grime, Megan M. and Wright, George (2016) Delphi Method. In: Wiley StatsRef. John Wiley and Sons, New York, N.Y., pp. 1-6. ISBN 9781118445112

2015

Bradfield, Ron and Cairns, George and Wright, George (2015) Teaching scenario analysis : an action learning pedagogy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 100. pp. 44-52. ISSN 0040-1625

Cairns, George and Goodwin, Paul and Wright, George (2015) A decision-analysis-based framework for analyzing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning. European Journal of Operational Research. ISSN 0377-2217

2014

Goodwin, Paul and Wright, George (2014) Decision Analysis for Management Judgment 5th ed. John Wiley and Sons. ISBN 978-1-118-74073-6

Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2014) Preparing for the future : development of an ‘antifragile’ methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 82. pp. 215-225. ISSN 0040-1625

2013

Wright, George and Bradfield, Ronald and Cairns, George (2013) Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4). pp. 631-642. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George and Bradfield, Ronald (2013) Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practise : introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4). 561–565. ISSN 0040-1625

Cairns, George and Ahmed, Iftekhar and Mullett, Jane and Wright, George (2013) Scenario method and stakeholder engagement : critical reflections on a climate change scenarios case study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (1). pp. 1-10. ISSN 0040-1625

2012

Donaldson, W.G. and Lee, J-H. and Wright, George (2012) Strategic and organisational determinants of sophistication in deployed sales force automation systems within three industry sectors in the UK. Journal of Marketing Management, 28 (11-12). pp. 1305-1330. ISSN 0267-257X

2011

Rowe, G and Wright, George (2011) The Delphi technique : past, present and future prospects - introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1487-1490. ISSN 0040-1625

Bolger, F and Stranieri, A and Wright, George and Yearwood, J (2011) Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgemental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgemental forecasters? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1671-1680. ISSN 0040-1625

Bolger, F and Wright, George (2011) Improving the Delphi process : lessons from social psychological research. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1500-1513. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George (2011) Scenario thinking : practical approaches to the future. Palgrave McMillan. ISBN 9780230271562

Wright, George and Rowe, G (2011) Group-based judgmental forecasting : an integration of extent knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda. International Journal of Forecasting, 27 (1). pp. 1-13. ISSN 0169-2070

2010

Sliwa, M and Cairns, George and Wright, George (2010) Problematizing international business futures through a 'critical scenario method'. Futures, 42 (9). pp. 971-979. ISSN 0016-3287

Goodwin, P and Wright, George (2010) The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (3). pp. 355-368. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and O'Keefe, M (2010) Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: a demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO despite strong pressure for a change. Futures, 42 (1). pp. 26-41. ISSN 0016-3287

2009

Wright, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability : enhancing the scenario method. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (4). pp. 813-825. ISSN 0169-2070

Wright, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Structuring the decision process : an evaluation of methods in the structuring the decision process. In: Handbook of organizational decision making. Oxford University Press, Oxford. ISBN 9780199290468

Wright, George and Cairns, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Teaching scenario planning : lessons from practice in academe and business. European Journal of Operational Research, 194 (1). pp. 323-335. ISSN 0377-2217

Wright, George and Bolger, F and Rowe, G (2009) Expert judgment of probability and risk. In: In making essential choice with scant information. Palgrave McMillan, Basingstoke. ISBN 9780230205864

Wright, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Decision analysis for management judgment. John Wiley and Sons. ISBN 9780470714393

2008

Wright, George and Fletcher, K and Donaldson, B and Lee, J-H. (2008) Sales force automation systems : an analysis of factors underpinning the sophistication of deployed systems in the UK financial service industry. Industrial Marketing Management, 37 (8). pp. 992-1004. ISSN 0019-8501