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2022

Belton, Ian and Cuhls, Kerstin and Wright, George (2022) A critical evaluation of 42, large-scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys. Futures & Foresight Science. ISSN 2573-5152

2021

Hamlin, Iain and Bolger, Fergus and Vasilichi, Alexandrina and Crawford, Megan and Sissons, Aileen and Taylor Browne Luka, Countney and Wright, George (2021) Structured groups make more accurate veracity judgements than individuals. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 35 (6). pp. 1600-1607. ISSN 0888-4080

Belton, Ian and Wright, George and Sissons, Aileen and Bolger, Fergus and Crawford, Megan and Hamlin, Iain and Taylor Browne Luka, Courtney and Vasilichi, Alexandrina (2021) Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged? Technological Forecasting and Social Change. ISSN 0040-1625 (In Press)

2020

Wright, George and O'Brien, Frances and Meadows, Maureen and Tapinos, Efstathios and Pyper, Neil (2020) Scenario planning and foresight : advancing theory and improving practice. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 159. 120220. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George (2020) Does the facilitator of a scenario development activity need substantive knowledge of the focal topic? Futures & Foresight Science, 2 (2). e29. ISSN 2573-5152

Cairns, George and Wright, George (2020) A reflection on the mass production of scenarios in response to COVID-19. Futures & Foresight Science. ISSN 2573-5152 (In Press)

2019

Belton, Ian and MacDonald, Alice and Wright, George and Hamlin, Iain (2019) Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment : a six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 147. pp. 72-82. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George and O'Brien, Frances A. and Goodwin, Paul (2019) Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential. European Journal of Operational Research, 278 (1). pp. 3-19. ISSN 0377-2217

Cairns, George and Wright, George (2019) Making scenario interventions matter : exploring issues of power and rationality. Futures & Foresight Science, 1 (1). e10. ISSN 2573-5152

2017

Rowe, Emily and Wright, George and Derbyshire, James (2017) Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios : analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important 'weak signals'. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 125. pp. 224-235. ISSN 0040-1625

Cairns, George and Wright, George and Fairbrother, Peter and Phillips, Richard (2017) 'Branching scenarios' seeking articulated action for regional regeneration – a case study of limited success. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 124. pp. 189-202. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Meadows, Maureen and Tapinos, Efstathios and O'Brien, Frances and Pyper, Neil (2017) Improving scenario methodology - theory and practice : Introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 124. pp. 1-5. ISSN 0040-1625

Cairns, George and Wright, George (2017) Scenario Thinking : Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World. Palgrave Macmillan, London. ISBN 9783319490670

Bolger, Fergus and Wright, George (2017) Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future : issues, analysis and directions. International Journal of Forecasting, 33 (1). pp. 230-243. ISSN 0169-2070

Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2017) Augmenting the Intuitive Logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation. International Journal of Forecasting, 33 (1). pp. 254-266. ISSN 0169-2070

2016

Bryson, Stephanie and Grime, Megan Michelle and Murthy, Adarsh and Wright, George; Kunc, Martin and Malpass, Jonathan and White, Leroy, eds. (2016) Behavioural issues in the practical application of scenario thinking : cognitive biases, effective group facilitation, and overcoming business-as-usual thinking. In: Behavioural Operational Research. Palgrave Macmillan, London. ISBN 978-1-137-53551-1

Cairns, George and Goodwin, Paul and Wright, George (2016) A decision-analysis-based framework for analyzing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning. European Journal of Operational Research, 249 (3). pp. 1050-1062. ISSN 0377-2217

Bradfield, Ronald and Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2016) The critical role of history in scenario thinking : augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology. Futures, 77. pp. 56-66. ISSN 0016-3287

Cairns, George and Wright, George and Fairbrother, Peter (2016) Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios : a case analysis of the use of 'scenario improvisation' method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 103. pp. 97-108. ISSN 0040-1625

Grime, Megan M. and Wright, George; Brandimarte, Paolo and Everitt, Brian and Molenberghs, Geert and Piegorsch, Walter and Ruggeri, Fabrizio, eds. (2016) Delphi Method. In: Wiley StatsRef. John Wiley & Sons Inc., New York, N.Y., pp. 1-6. ISBN 9781118445112

2015

Bradfield, Ron and Cairns, George and Wright, George (2015) Teaching scenario analysis : an action learning pedagogy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 100. pp. 44-52. ISSN 0040-1625

2014

Goodwin, Paul and Wright, George (2014) Decision Analysis for Management Judgment 5th ed. John Wiley & Sons Inc., New York. ISBN 978-1-118-74073-6

Derbyshire, James and Wright, George (2014) Preparing for the future : development of an 'antifragile' methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 82. pp. 215-225. ISSN 0040-1625

2013

Wright, George and Bradfield, Ronald and Cairns, George (2013) Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4). pp. 631-642. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George and Bradfield, Ronald (2013) Scenario methodology: New developments in theory and practise : introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (4). 561–565. TFS-17690. ISSN 0040-1625

Cairns, George and Ahmed, Iftekhar and Mullett, Jane and Wright, George (2013) Scenario method and stakeholder engagement : critical reflections on a climate change scenarios case study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (1). pp. 1-10. ISSN 0040-1625

2012

Donaldson, W.G. and Lee, J-H. and Wright, George (2012) Strategic and organisational determinants of sophistication in deployed sales force automation systems within three industry sectors in the UK. Journal of Marketing Management, 28 (11-12). pp. 1305-1330. ISSN 0267-257X

2011

Rowe, G and Wright, George (2011) The Delphi technique : past, present and future prospects - introduction to the special issue. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1487-1490. ISSN 0040-1625

Bolger, F and Stranieri, A and Wright, George and Yearwood, J (2011) Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgemental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgemental forecasters? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1671-1680. ISSN 0040-1625

Bolger, F and Wright, George (2011) Improving the Delphi process : lessons from social psychological research. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (9). pp. 1500-1513. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and Cairns, George (2011) Scenario thinking : practical approaches to the future. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. ISBN 9780230271562

Wright, George and Rowe, G (2011) Group-based judgmental forecasting : an integration of extent knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda. International Journal of Forecasting, 27 (1). pp. 1-13. ISSN 0169-2070

2010

Sliwa, M and Cairns, George and Wright, George (2010) Problematizing international business futures through a 'critical scenario method'. Futures, 42 (9). pp. 971-979. ISSN 0016-3287

Goodwin, P and Wright, George (2010) The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (3). pp. 355-368. ISSN 0040-1625

Wright, George and O'Keefe, M (2010) Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: a demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO despite strong pressure for a change. Futures, 42 (1). pp. 26-41. ISSN 0016-3287

2009

Wright, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability : enhancing the scenario method. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (4). pp. 813-825. ISSN 0169-2070

Wright, George and Goodwin, P; Hodgkinson, G.P. and Starbuck, B., eds. (2009) Structuring the decision process : an evaluation of methods in the structuring the decision process. In: Handbook of organizational decision making. Oxford University Press, Oxford. ISBN 9780199290468

Wright, George and Cairns, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Teaching scenario planning : lessons from practice in academe and business. European Journal of Operational Research, 194 (1). pp. 323-335. ISSN 0377-2217

Wright, George and Bolger, F and Rowe, G; Williams, T and Sunnevag, K.J. and Samset, K, eds. (2009) Expert judgment of probability and risk. In: In making essential choice with scant information. Palgrave Macmillan, Basingstoke. ISBN 9780230205864

Wright, George and Goodwin, P (2009) Decision analysis for management judgment. John Wiley & Sons Inc., New York. ISBN 9780470714393

2008

Wright, George and Fletcher, K and Donaldson, B and Lee, J-H. (2008) Sales force automation systems : an analysis of factors underpinning the sophistication of deployed systems in the UK financial service industry. Industrial Marketing Management, 37 (8). pp. 992-1004. ISSN 0019-8501