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2024

Dhami, Mandeep K. and Belton, Ian K. and De Werd, Peter and Hadzhieva, Velichka and Wicke, Lars (2024) Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications, 9 (1). 37. ISSN 2365-7464

Belton, Ian K. and Dhami, Mandeep K. (2024) The role of character-based personal mitigation in sentencing judgments. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 21 (1). pp. 208-239. ISSN 1740-1461

Belton, Ian and Quigley, John (2024) The Nunavut-Nunavik Search and Rescue project (NSAR) : enhancing SAR operations in Arctic Canada. In: Arctic Science Summit Week, 2024-03-21 - 2024-03-29.

2023

Bolger, Fergus and Rowe, Gene and Hamlin, Iain and Belton, Ian and Crawford, Megan and Sissons, Aileen and Taylor Browne Lūka, Courtney and Vasilichi, Alexandrina and Wright, George (2023) Virtuous opinion change in structured groups. Judgment and Decision Making, 18. e25. ISSN 1930-2975

Derbyshire, James and Dhami, Mandeep K. and Belton, Ian and Önkal, Dilek (2023) The value of experiments in futures and foresight science : a reply. Futures & Foresight Science, 5 (2). e156. ISSN 2573-5152

Kikkert, Peter and Belton, Ian and Pedersen, Calvin and Lackenbauer, P. Whitney and Pelot, Ron and Quigley, John (2023) Maritime search and rescue in Nunavut, Canada : strengthening the system from the bottom up. In: World Maritime Rescue Congress (WMRC) 2023, 2023-06-18 - 2023-06-20, Holland America Line Cruise Ship SS Rotterdam.

Kikkert, Peter and Quigley, John and Belton, Ian and Brown, Robert and Ennis, Kerri-Ann and Goerlandt, Floris and Howick, Susan and Lackenbauer, P. Whitney and Mak, Lawrence and Pedersen, Calvin and Pelot, Ronald and Shan, Desai and Walls, Lesley and Wright, George (2023) Addressing the challenges to search and rescue operations caused by ice conditions in Nunavut, Canada. In: 27th International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic Conditions, 2023-06-12 - 2023-06-16, University of Strathclyde.

Derbyshire, James and Dhami, Mandeep and Belton, Ian and Önkal, Dilek (2023) The value of experiments in futures and foresight science as illustrated by the case of scenario planning. Futures & Foresight Science, 5 (2). e146. ISSN 2573-5152

2022

Jenkins, Brian and Belton, Ian and Carroll, James and McMillan, David (2022) Estimating the major replacement rates in next-generation offshore wind turbines using structured expert elicitation. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2362 (1). 012020. ISSN 1742-6588

Belton, Ian and Cuhls, Kerstin and Wright, George (2022) A critical evaluation of 42, large-scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys. Futures & Foresight Science, 4 (2). e2118. ISSN 2573-5152

2021

Belton, Ian and Wright, George and Sissons, Aileen and Bolger, Fergus and Crawford, Megan and Hamlin, Iain and Taylor Browne Luka, Courtney and Vasilichi, Alexandrina (2021) Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 170. 120897. ISSN 0040-1625

2020

Belton, Ian and Dhami, Mandeep; Viale, Riccardo, ed. (2020) Cognitive biases and debiasing in intelligence analysis. In: Routledge Handbook of Bounded Rationality. Routledge, London. ISBN 9781315658353

Dhami, Mandeep K. and Belton, Ian K. and Merrall, Elizabeth and McGrath, Andrew and Bird, Sheila M. (2020) Criminal sentencing by preferred numbers. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 17 (1). pp. 139-163. ISSN 1740-1461

2019

Dhami, Mandeep K. and Belton, Ian K. and Mandel, David R. (2019) The "analysis of competing hypotheses" in intelligence analysis. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 33 (6). pp. 1080-1090. ISSN 0888-4080

Belton, Ian and MacDonald, Alice and Wright, George and Hamlin, Iain (2019) Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment : a six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 147. pp. 72-82. ISSN 0040-1625

Wicke, Lars and Dhami, Mandeep K. and Önkal, Dilek and Belton, Ian K. (2019) Using scenarios to forecast outcomes of a refugee crisis. International Journal of Forecasting. ISSN 0169-2070