Behavioural issues in the practical application of scenario thinking : cognitive biases, effective group facilitation, and overcoming business-as-usual thinking
Bryson, Stephanie and Grime, Megan Michelle and Murthy, Adarsh and Wright, George; Kunc, Martin and Malpass, Jonathan and White, Leroy, eds. (2016) Behavioural issues in the practical application of scenario thinking : cognitive biases, effective group facilitation, and overcoming business-as-usual thinking. In: Behavioural Operational Research. Palgrave Macmillan, London. ISBN 978-1-137-53551-1
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Abstract
In this chapter, we discuss and analyse the use of scenario interventions in organisations to overcome business-as-usual thinking - by promoting divergence of opinion and subsequent debate about the nature of the future. We shown that cognitive biases at the level of individual participants in a scenario workshop can both help and hinder the progression of scenario thinking and we go on to demonstrate how expert facilitation of the group process can help generate process-gain with the result that individually-held overconfidence is challenged and attenuated.
Creators(s): |
Bryson, Stephanie ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() | Item type: | Book Section |
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ID code: | 54983 |
Notes: | This extract is taken from the author's original manuscript and has not been edited. The definitive, published, version of record is available here: www.palgrave.com |
Keywords: | business-as-usual thinking, scenario thinking, group behaviour, facilitation, overconfidence, cognitive biases, organisational inertia, Management. Industrial Management, Strategy and Management |
Subjects: | Social Sciences > Industries. Land use. Labor > Management. Industrial Management |
Department: | Strathclyde Business School > Strategy and Organisation |
Depositing user: | Pure Administrator |
Date deposited: | 11 Dec 2015 04:30 |
Last modified: | 11 Nov 2020 05:07 |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/54983 |
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