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2018

Colson, Abigail R. and Cooke, Roger M. (2018) Expert elicitation : using the classical model to validate experts' judgments. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 12 (1). 113–132. ISSN 1750-6824

2017

Colson, Abigail R. and Cooke, Roger M. (2017) Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 163. pp. 109-120. ISSN 0951-8320

2016

Werner, Christoph and Bedford, Tim and Cooke, Roger M. and Hanea, Anca M. and Morales-Napoles, Oswaldo (2016) Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling : a systematic literature review and future research directions. European Journal of Operational Research, 258 (3). pp. 801-819. ISSN 0377-2217

Zhang, Hongyan and Rutherford, Edward S. and Mason, Doran M. and Breck, Jason T. and Wittmann, Marion E. and Cooke, Roger M. and Lodge, David M. and Rothlisberger, John D. and Zhu, Xinhua and Johnson, Timothy B. (2016) Forecasting the Impacts of Silver and Bighead Carp on the Lake Erie Food Web. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 145 (1). pp. 136-162. ISSN 0002-8487

2015

Koch, Benjamin J. and Filoso, Solange and Cooke, Roger M. and Hosen, Jacob D. and Colson, Abigail R. and Febria, Catherine M. and Palmer, Margaret A. (2015) Reply to comment on "Suburban watershed nitrogen retention: Estimating the effectiveness of stormwater management structures" by Koch et al. (Elem Sci Anth 3:000063, July 2015). Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 3. p. 79. ISSN 2325-1026

Koch, Benjamin J. and Febria, Catherine M. and Cooke, Roger M. and Hosen, Jacob D. and Baker, Matthew E. and Colson, Abigail R. and Filoso, Solange and Hayhoe, Katharine and Loperfido, J.V. and Stoner, Anne M.K. and Palmer, Margaret A. (2015) Suburban watershed nitrogen retention : estimating the effectiveness of stormwater management structures. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 3. 000063. ISSN 2325-1026

Cooke, R.M. and Kurowicka, D. and Wilson, K. (2015) Sampling, conditionalizing, counting, merging, searching regular vines. Journal of Multivariate Analysis. ISSN 0047-259X

2014

Ganguly, Taposhri and Wilson, Kevin and Quigley, John and Cooke, Roger and Babuscia, Alessandra and Cheung, Kar-Ming (2014) Reaction to 'An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis : methodology and experimental results'. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 177 (4). pp. 981-985. ISSN 0964-1998

2013

Halpern, Benjamin S and Longo, Catherine and McLeod, Karen L and Cooke, Roger and Fischhoff, Baruch and Samhouri, Jameal F and Scarborough, Courtney (2013) Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current. Marine Policy, 42. pp. 68-73.

Gradowska, Patrycja L and Cooke, Roger M (2013) Estimating expected value of information using Bayesian belief networks : a case study in fish consumption advisory. Environment Systems and Decisions. pp. 1-10. (In Press)

Cooke, Roger (2013) Expert judgement assessment : quantifying uncertainty on thin ice. Nature Climate Change, 3 (4). pp. 311-312.

Cooke, Roger M (2013) Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change…and conversely. Climatic change, 117 (3). pp. 467-479.

Cooke, Roger M (2013) Model uncertainty in economic impacts of climate change : Bernoulli versus Lotka Volterra dynamics. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 9 (1). pp. 2-6.

Aspinall, W. P. and Cooke, R. M.; Rougier, Jonathan and Sparks, Steve and Hill, Lisa J., eds. (2013) Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation. In: Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 64-99. ISBN 9781139047562

2012

Gradowska, PL and Cooke, RM (2012) Least squares type estimation for Cox regression model and specification error. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 56 (7). pp. 2288-2302.

Tyshenko, Michael G and ElSaadany, Susie and Oraby, Tamer and Darshan, Shalu and Catford, Angela and Aspinall, Willy and Cooke, Roger and Krewski, Daniel (2012) Expert judgement and re--elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 16 (1-3). pp. 48-77.

Kousky, Carolyn and Cooke, Roger (2012) Explaining the failure to insure catastrophic risks. Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 37 (2). pp. 206-227.

Ryan, Julie J.C.H. and Mazzuchi, Thomas A. and Ryan, Daniel J. and Lopez de la Cruz, Juliana and Cooke, Roger (2012) Quantifying information security risks using expert judgment elicitation. Computers & Operations Research, 39 (4). pp. 774-784.

Rothlisberger, John D and Finnoff, David C and Cooke, Roger M and Lodge, David M (2012) Ship-borne nonindigenous species diminish Great Lakes ecosystem services. Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems, 15 (3). pp. 462-476.

Cooley, David M and Galik, Christopher S and Holmes, Thomas P and Kousky, Carolyn and Cooke, Roger M (2012) Managing dependencies in forest offset projects : toward a more complete evaluation of reversal risk. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 17 (1). pp. 17-24.

Kappel, Carrie V and Halpern, Benjamin S and Selkoe, Kimberly A and Cooke, Roger M; Ajith H, Perera and Ashton, Drew, C. and Chris J., Johnson,, eds. (2012) Eliciting expert knowledge of ecosystem vulnerability to human stressors to support comprehensive ocean management. In: Expert knowledge and its application in landscape ecology. Springer, 9781461410348, pp. 253-277.

Kousky, Carolyn and Cooke, Roger M; Laxminarayan, Ramanan and Macauley, Molly K., eds. (2012) The value of information in a risk management approach to climate change. In: The value of information. Springer Netherlands, pp. 19-43. ISBN 9789400748385

2011

Cooke, Roger M (2011) A shapley value approach to pricing climate risks. Economics Discussion Paper (2011-1).

Flari, Villie and Chaudhry, Qasim and Neslo, Rabin and Cooke, Roger (2011) Expert judgment based multi-criteria decision model to address uncertainties in risk assessment of nanotechnology-enabled food products. Journal of Nanoparticle Research, 13 (5). pp. 1813-1831.

Neslo, REJ and Cooke, RM (2011) Modeling and validating stakeholder preferences with probabilistic inversion. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 27 (2). pp. 115-130.

Cooke, Roger M and Ross, Heather and Stern, Adam (2011) Precursor analysis for offshore oil and gas drilling : from prescriptive to risk-informed regulation. Discussion paper. Resources for the Future.

Cooke, Roger M (2011) Response to Conundrums Letter. Risk Analysis, 31 (1). pp. 5-6. ISSN 1539-6924

Tyshenko, Michael G and ElSaadany, Susie and Oraby, Tamer and Darshan, Shalu and Aspinall, Willy and Cooke, Roger and Catford, Angela and Krewski, Daniel (2011) Expert elicitation for the judgment of prion disease risk uncertainties. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A: Current Issues, 74 (2-4). pp. 261-285.

Cooke, Roger M and Nieboer, Daan (2011) Heavy-tailed distributions : data, diagnostics, and new developments. Discussion paper. Resources for the Future, Washington.

Joe, Harry and Cooke, Roger M and Kurowicka, Dorota (2011) Regular vines : generation algorithm and number of equivalence classes. Energy Review Quarterly. p. 219.

Kousky, Carolyn and Kopp, Robert and Cooke, Roger M (2011) Risk premia and the social cost of carbon : a review. Energy Review Quarterly, 5. 2011-21.

2010

Cooke, Roger M and Kousky, Carolyn and Joe, Harry; Kurowicka, Dorota and Joe, Harry, eds. (2010) Micro correlations and tail dependence. In: Dependence Modeling. World Scientific Publishing Company, pp. 89-112. ISBN 978-9814299879

Cooke, Roger M and Joe, Harry and Aas, Kjersti; Kurowicka, Dorota and Joe, Harry, eds. (2010) Vines Arise. In: Dependence Modeling. World Scientific Publishing Company, pp. 37-72. ISBN 978-9814299879

Rothlisberger, John D and Lodge, David M and Cooke, Roger M and Finnoff, David C (2010) Future declines of the binational Laurentian Great Lakes fisheries : the importance of environmental and cultural change. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 8 (5). pp. 239-244.

Kurowicka, Dorota and Nauta, Maarten and Jozwiak, Katarzyna and Cooke, Roger (2010) Updating parameters of the chicken processing line model. Risk Analysis, 30 (6). pp. 934-944. ISSN 1539-6924

Cooke, Roger and Kousky, Carolyn (2010) Climate Dependencies and Risk Management : Microcorrelations and Tail Dependence. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.

Kurowicka, Dorota and Bucura, Catalin and Cooke, Roger and Havelaar, Arie (2010) Probabilistic inversion in priority setting of emerging zoonoses. Risk Analysis, 30 (5). pp. 715-723. ISSN 1539-6924

Hanea, AM and Kurowicka, Dorota and Cooke, Roger M and Ababei, DA (2010) Mining and visualising ordinal data with non-parametric continuous BBNs. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 54 (3). pp. 668-687.

Cooke, Roger (2010) Conundrums with uncertainty factors. Risk Analysis, 30 (3). pp. 330-339. ISSN 1539-6924

Cooke, Roger M and Goossens, Louis LHJ; Voeller, John G., ed. (2010) Experience with expert judgement : the TU delft expert judgment data. In: Wiley Handbook of Science and Technology for Homeland Security. John Wiley & Sons Inc., Bognor Regis. ISBN 9780471761303

Cooke, Roger M (2010) Response to reviewers. Risk Analysis, 30 (3). p. 353. ISSN 1539-6924

Cooke, Roger and Kousky, Carolyn (2010) Adapting to extreme events : managing fat tails. Other. Resources for the Future, Washington.

Cooke, Roger M and Kelly, George-Neale (2010) Climate change uncertainty quantification : lessons learned from the joint EU-USNRC project on uncertainty analysis of probabilistic accident consequence codes. Discussion paper. Resources for the Future, Washington.

2009

Ale, Ben JM and Bellamy, L.J. and Van der Boom, R and Cooper, J and Cooke, Roger M and Goossens, Louis HJ and Hale, AR and Kurowicka, Dorota and Morales, O and Roelen, ALC and Spouge, John (2009) Further development of a causal model for air transport safety (CATS) : building the mathematical heart. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 94 (9). pp. 1433-1441.

Cooke, Roger M (2009) Uncertainty modeling in dose response : bench testing environmental toxicity. Statistics in Practice . Wiley. com. ISBN 9780470447505

Cooke, Roger M; Williams, Terry M. and Samset, Knut and Sunnevåg, Kjell J., eds. (2009) Obtaining distributions from groups for decisions under uncertainty. In: Making Essential Choices With Scant Information. Palgrave Macmillan Ltd., Basingstoke, pp. 257-278. ISBN 9780230205864

Nápoles, Oswaldo Morales and Cooke, Roger M (2009) Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos : breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente. CIENCIA ergo sum, 16 (3). pp. 309-318.

Neslo, Rabin and Micheli, Fiorenza and Kappel, Carrie V and Selkoe, Kimberly A and Halpern, Benjamin S and Cooke, Roger M; Linkov, Igor and Ferguson, Elizabeth and Magar, Victor S., eds. (2009) Modeling stakeholder preferences with probabilistic inversion. In: Real-Time and Deliberative Decision Making. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security . Springer, pp. 265-284. ISBN 9781402090257

Kousky, Carolyn and Cooke, Roger M (2009) The Unholy Trinity : Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-correlations. Discussion paper. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.

2008

Havelaar, A.H. and Galindo, A.V. and Kurowicka, D. and Cooke, R.M. (2008) Attribution of foodborne pathogens using structured expert elicitation. Foodborne Pathogens and Disease, 5 (5). pp. 649-659. ISSN 1535-3141

Rothlisberger, John D and Lodge, David M and Finnoff, David and Cooke, Roger M (2008) COS 52-6 ship-borne non-indigenous species diminish ecosystem services of the Great Lakes : a structured expert judgment study. In: 93rd ESA Annual Meeting, 2008-08-01 - 2008-08-09.

Kurowicka, D and Cooke, R and Goossens, Louis and Ale, B (2008) Expert judgment study for placement ladder bowtie. Safety Science, 46 (6). pp. 921-934.

Cooke, Roger M and MacDonell, Margaret (2008) Regulating under uncertainty : newsboy for exposure limits. Risk Analysis, 28 (3). pp. 577-587. ISSN 1539-6924

Cooke, Roger (2008) Response to discussants. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93 (5). pp. 775-777.

Cooke, Roger M (2008) Special issue on expert judgement. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93 (5). pp. 655-656.

Cooke, Roger M and Goossens, Louis LHJ (2008) TU Delft expert judgment data base. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93 (5). pp. 657-674.

Goossens, LHJ and Cooke, RM and Hale, AR and Rodić-Wiersma, Lj. (2008) Fifteen years of expert judgement at TUDelft. Safety Science, 46 (2). pp. 234-244.

Morales-Nápoles, O and Kurowicka, D and Cooke, Roger (2008) EEMCS final report for the causal modeling for air transport safety (CATS) project. Delft Institute of Applied Mathematics, Delft.

Cooke, Roger M (2008) Expert judgement. Elsevier.

Ale, BJM and Bellamy, LJ and Van der Boom, R and Cooke, Roger and Goossens, LHJ and Hale, A.R and Kurowicka, D and Lin, PH and Roelen, ALC and Cooper, H and Spouge, J (2008) Further development of a causal model for air transport safety (CATS) : the complete model. In: Ninth international probabilistic safety assessment and management conference, 2008-05-18 - 2008-05-23.

Cooke, Roger M and MacDonell, Margaret (2008) Introduction. Energy Review Quarterly, 32. pp. 1-15.

Cooke, Roger M and ElSaadany, Susie and Huang, Xinzheng (2008) On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93 (5). pp. 745-756.

Tebbens, Radboud J Duintjer and Thompson, Kimberly M and Hunink, MG Myriam and Mazzuchi, Thomas A and Lewandowski, Daniel and Kurowicka, Dorota and Cooke, Roger M (2008) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of a dynamic economic evaluation model for vaccination programs. Medical Decision Making, 28 (2). pp. 182-200.