Reaction to 'An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results'

Ganguly, Taposhri and Wilson, Kevin and Quigley, John and Cooke, Roger and Babuscia, Alessandra and Cheung, Kar-Ming (2014) Reaction to 'An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results'. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A. ISSN 0964-1998

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      Abstract

      This letter a. rectifies misrepresentations of the classical model b. identifies methodological shortcomings in the authors's approach and c. compares performance of the authors' "calibration weighting" with equal weights and global weights of the classical model on the large expert judgement data set made available in (Cooke and Goossens 2008)