Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos : breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente

Nápoles, Oswaldo Morales and Cooke, Roger M (2009) Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos : breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente. CIENCIA ergo sum, 16 (3). pp. 309-318. (http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10412057012)

Abstract

The use of experts' opinions in science and decision making has been a common practice especially after the postwar period of the Second World War. The use of these opinions with methods that allow evaluation and validation on a scientific basis is more recent. This article presents an introduction to the classical model of structured expert judgment. This method has been designed to reach a rational consensus. A brief historical overview is presented. Two main concepts of the method (calibration and information) are discussed. A recent application that makes use of the method is briefly presented.

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• Item metadata

  Item type:	Article
  ID code:	45347
  Dates:	Date Event 2009 Published
  Keywords:	structured expert judgment, decision support, Calibrated probability assessment, Management. Industrial Management, Management Science and Operations Research
  Subjects:	Social Sciences > Industries. Land use. Labor > Management. Industrial Management
  Department:	Strathclyde Business School > Management Science
  Depositing user:	Pure Administrator
  Date deposited:	23 Oct 2013 14:04
  Last modified:	18 Jan 2023 09:36
  Related URLs:	Journal or Publication
  URI:	https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/45347