Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos : breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente

Nápoles, Oswaldo Morales and Cooke, Roger M (2009) Introducción al modelo clásico de juicio estructurado de expertos : breve recuento del pasado y una aplicación reciente. CIENCIA ergo sum, 16 (3). pp. 309-318.

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Abstract

The use of experts' opinions in science and decision making has been a common practice especially after the postwar period of the Second World War. The use of these opinions with methods that allow evaluation and validation on a scientific basis is more recent. This article presents an introduction to the classical model of structured expert judgment. This method has been designed to reach a rational consensus. A brief historical overview is presented. Two main concepts of the method (calibration and information) are discussed. A recent application that makes use of the method is briefly presented.

Creators(s): Nápoles, Oswaldo Morales and Cooke, Roger M;
Item type:Article
ID code:45347
Keywords:structured expert judgment, decision support, Calibrated probability assessment, Management. Industrial Management, Management Science and Operations Research
Subjects:Social Sciences > Industries. Land use. Labor > Management. Industrial Management
Department:Strathclyde Business School > Management Science
Depositing user: Pure Administrator
Date deposited:23 Oct 2013 14:04
Last modified:25 Nov 2020 01:54
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URI:https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/45347
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