Collision and re-entry analysis under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty

Tardioli, Chiara and Vasile, Massimiliano; Majji, Manoranjan and Turner, James D. and Wawrzyniak, Geoff G. and Cerven, William Todd, eds. (2016) Collision and re-entry analysis under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. In: Astrodynamics 2015. Advances in Astronautical Sciences, 156 . Univelt Inc, USA, pp. 4205-4220. ISBN 9780877036296 (http://www.univelt.com/book=5548)

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Abstract

This paper presents an approach to the design of optimal collision avoidance and re-entry maneuvers considering different types of uncertainty in initial conditions and model parameters. The uncertainty is propagated through the dynamics, with a non-intrusive approach, based on multivariate Tchebycheff series, to form a polynomial representation of the final states. The collision probability, in the cases of precise and imprecise probability measures, is computed considering the intersection between the uncertainty region of the end states of the spacecraft and a reference sphere. The re-entry probability, instead, is computed considering the intersection between the uncertainty region of the end states of the spacecraft and the atmosphere.

  • Item type:Book Section
    ID code:59639
    Dates:
    Date
    Event
    2016
    Published
    20 April 2015
    Accepted
    Notes:This paper was originally presented at the AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference held August 9-13, 2015, Vail, Colorado, U.S.A., and was originally published in the American Astronautical Society (AAS) publication Astrodynamics 2015, edited by Manoranjan Majji, James D. Turner, Geoff G. Wawrzyniak and William Todd Cerven, American Astronautical Society (AAS) Advances in the Astronautical Sciences, Volume 156, 2016, pp. 4205-4220 (Copyright © 2016 by American Astronautical Society Publications Office, P.O. Box 28130, San Diego, CA 92198, U.S.A.; Web Site: http://www.univelt.com
    Subjects:Technology > Motor vehicles. Aeronautics. Astronautics
    Department:Faculty of Engineering > Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
    Depositing user: Pure Administrator
    Date deposited:30 Jan 2017 12:43
    Last modified:08 Apr 2024 13:37
    Related URLs:
    URI:https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/59639
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