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What we know and what we believe : lessons from cognitive psychology

Bradfield, Ronald (2004) What we know and what we believe : lessons from cognitive psychology. Development, 47 (4). pp. 35-42. ISSN 0950-1991

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Abstract

Most of what is known about scenarios comes from three sources: articles in the practitioner literature describing how scenario planning is undertaken; articles from the ‘future research’ literature that offer models for constructing scenarios, and a small body of research based on empirical studies of related topics. It is this third source that Ron Bradfield discusses as he draws out possible lessons from research for scenario practitioners