Assessing the types of urban growth and shrinkage based on indicators of population and economic activity

Eun Kim, Young and Kim, Saehoon and Lee, Jae Seung; (2022) Assessing the types of urban growth and shrinkage based on indicators of population and economic activity. In: Annual Conference Proceedings of the XXVIII International Seminar on Urban Form. University of Strathclyde Publishing, Glasgow, pp. 1630-1637. ISBN 9781914241161

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Abstract

Many studies have discussed changes in the growth and shrinkage of cities primarily through population indicators. However, both population and economic activity indicators should consider because it has a limitation that it is difficult to fully capture the growth and shrinkage of cities only by population change. In the study, a conceptual model of 8 quadrants of growth and shrinkage involving both the demographic and economic aspects proposed. The characteristics of different types of growth and shrinkage patterns were analyzed, focusing on Korean cities. As a result, growing cities and shrinking cities appeared differently depending on which of the two indicators of population change and economic activity was intense. Shrinkage is not the same, and shrinkage may have a growth aspect. Even with a declining population, some cities are difficult to see as shrinkage because the economy is very active. This study reconsidered that researcher should consider both population and economic activity indicators when diagnosing and classifying urban changes. Policymakers should offer appropriate regional policies for each type.

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