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2024

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey and Wu, Ping (2024) Incorporating short data into large mixed-frequency vector autoregressions for regional nowcasting. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 187 (2). pp. 477-495. qnad130. ISSN 0964-1998

2023

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey and Wu, Ping (2023) Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting. Discussion paper. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2023) Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the United States. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 41 (2). pp. 563-577. ISSN 0735-0015

Gefang, Deborah and Koop, Gary and Poon, Aubrey (2023) Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage. International Journal of Forecasting, 39 (1). pp. 346-363. ISSN 0169-2070

2021

Garcia, Juan Angel and Poon, Aubrey (2021) Inflation trends in Asia : implications for central banks. Oxford Economic Papers. gpab050. ISSN 0030-7653

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2021) Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic. National Institute Economic Review, 256. pp. 44-70. ISSN 0027-9501

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2021) Nowcasting 'True' Monthly US GDP During the Pandemic. Discussion paper. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

2020

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2020) Reconciled estimates and nowcasts of regional output in the UK. National Institute Economic Review, 253. R44-R59. ISSN 0027-9501

Cross, Jamie L. and Hou, Chenghan and Poon, Aubrey (2020) Macroeconomic forecasting with large Bayesian VARs : global-local priors and the illusion of sparsity. International Journal of Forecasting, 36 (3). pp. 899-915. ISSN 0169-2070

Gefang, Deborah and Koop, Gary and Poon, Aubrey (2020) Computationally efficient inference in large Bayesian mixed frequency VARs. Economics Letters, 191. 109120. ISSN 0165-1765

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2020) Regional output growth in the United Kingdom : more timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 35 (2). pp. 176-197. ISSN 0883-7252

2019

Garcia, Juan Angel and Poon, Aubrey (2019) Inflation Trends in Asia : Implications for Central Banks. Preprint / Working Paper. European Central Bank, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

Cross, Jamie L. and Poon, Aubrey (2019) On the contribution of international shocks in Australian business cycle fluctuations. Empirical Economics. ISSN 0377-7332

2018

Koop, Gary and McIntyre, Stuart and Mitchell, James and Poon, Aubrey (2018) Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom : More Timely And Higher Frequency Estimates,1970-2017. Discussion paper. Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence, London.

Poon, Aubrey (2018) Assessing the synchronicity and nature of Australian state business cycles. The Economic Record. ISSN 1475-4932

Poon, Aubrey and Garcia, Juan Angel (2018) Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation. Preprint / Working Paper. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C..

Cross, Jamie L. and Poon, Aubrey and Hou, Chenghan (2018) International Transmissions of Aggregate Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies : An Empirical Approach. Preprint / Working Paper. CAMA Working papers, Canberra.