Spatial dynamics of election violence : how repression spreads dissent around elections
Sudduth, Jun Koga and Gallop, Max (2023) Spatial dynamics of election violence : how repression spreads dissent around elections. Journal of Politics, 85 (3). pp. 933-948. ISSN 0022-3816 (https://doi.org/10.1086/723968)
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Abstract
How does political violence spread around election times within countries? Though election times are periods possibly most vulnerable to the contagion of violence, we know very little about how election violence spreads spatially. We argue that government-sponsored election violence in one area will increase the levels of election violence inflicted by anti-systemic actors in another area with similar political or socioeconomic characteristics. Government violence in one area increases the expectation that repression would soon start in another area that looks similar to the targeted area, prompting oppositions in these areas to take actions preemptively. We test our arguments using subnational data on India’s election violence from 1991 to 2009, finding that government election violence in one state increases opposition-led election violence in another state with similar political and socioeconomic characteristics in India. Our results are robust when using a stationary causal directed acyclic graph approach and recover the bias-corrected spatial effects.
ORCID iDs
Sudduth, Jun Koga ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3319-3382 and Gallop, Max ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6352-4301;-
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Item type: Article ID code: 83509 Dates: DateEventJuly 2023Published22 May 2023Published Online12 December 2022AcceptedSubjects: Political Science Department: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences (HaSS) > Government and Public Policy > Politics Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 13 Dec 2022 12:06 Last modified: 21 Nov 2024 01:23 Related URLs: URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/83509