Identifying disruptive technologies : horizon scanning in the early stages of design

Ernstsen, Sidsel Katrine and Thuesen, Christian and Larsen, Laurids Rolighed and Maier, Anja; Marjanović, D. and Štorga, M. and Škec, S. and Bojčetić, N. and Pavković, N., eds. (2018) Identifying disruptive technologies : horizon scanning in the early stages of design. In: DS 92. Design Society, HRV. ISBN 9789537738594 (https://doi.org/10.21278/idc.2018.0105)

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Abstract

Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.

ORCID iDs

Ernstsen, Sidsel Katrine, Thuesen, Christian, Larsen, Laurids Rolighed and Maier, Anja ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3890-6452; Marjanović, D., Štorga, M., Škec, S., Bojčetić, N. and Pavković, N.
CORE (COnnecting REpositories)