Fraser of Allander Institute : Economic Commentary [June 2010]

Fraser of Allander Institute; (2010) Fraser of Allander Institute : Economic Commentary [June 2010]. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

[thumbnail of FAI-2010-34-1-Fraser-of-Allander-Economic-Commentary]
Preview
Text. Filename: FAI_2010_34_1_Fraser_of_Allander_Economic_Commentary.pdf
Final Published Version

Download (1MB)| Preview

Abstract

As the Scottish economy emerges from recession a slowly strengthening recovery is threatened by the massive fiscal consolidation package introduced by the new Conservative/Liberal Democrat coalition government in the emergency Budget of 22nd June. We estimate that Scottish GDP growth will be 0.1% lower this year, 0.2% lower in 2011 and 0.1% lower in 2012 as a result of the additional fiscal tightening in the emergency Budget compared to the plans of the previous Labour government