Towards detailed occupancy and demand modelling of low-carbon communities

Flett, Graeme Hamilton and Kelly, Nicolas (2014) Towards detailed occupancy and demand modelling of low-carbon communities. In: 1st International Conference on Zero Carbon Buildings Today and in the Future, ZCB2014,, 2014-09-11 - 2014-09-12, Birmingham City University.

[thumbnail of Flett-Kelly-ZCB-2014-Towards-occupancy-and demand-modelling-low-carbon-communities-Sep-2014] PDF. Filename: Flett_Kelly_ZCB_2014_Towards_occupancy_and_demand_modelling_low_carbon_communities_Sep_2014.pdf
Accepted Author Manuscript
Download (533kB)

Abstract

The integration of low carbon energy systems with zero carbon housing and communities requires a detailed understanding of the scale and timing of energy demand. Household demand is closely related to occupant type and associated occupancy patterns. A high resolution occupancy modelling technique is proposed as a foundation for future demand modelling. Probability data is compiled for multiple occupant, household, and day types from Time-Use Survey data. A higher order Markov approach is then used to generate representative occupancy profiles over extended time periods. An improved method to model family interactions has also been developed.

ORCID iDs

Flett, Graeme Hamilton ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8255-5223 and Kelly, Nicolas ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6517-5942;
CORE (COnnecting REpositories)