An extended human reliability analysing under fuzzy logic environment for ship navigation

Uflaz, Esma and Celik, Erkan and Aydin, Muhammet and Erdem, Pelin and Akyuz, Emre and Arslan, Ozcan and Kurt, Rafet Emek and Turan, Osman (2023) An extended human reliability analysing under fuzzy logic environment for ship navigation. Australian Journal of Maritime & Ocean Affairs, 15 (2). pp. 189-209. ISSN 2333-6498 (https://doi.org/10.1080/18366503.2022.2025687)

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Abstract

Preparation for a sea voyage is one of the fundamental aspects of navigation. Several complexities are involved during the preparation of the ship for navigation due to the nature of maritime work. At this point, analysing human-related error is of paramount importance to ensure the safety of the ship and the crew. This paper describes the principles of a methodology, namely fuzzy-based shipboard operation human reliability analysis (SOHRA), to quantitatively perform human error assessment through procedures of preparing the ship for navigation. While the SOHRA (a marine-specific HRA approach) quantifies human error, the fuzzy logic deals with ambiguity and vagueness in the human error detection problem. The findings show that the total HEP (Human error probability) is found 1.49E-01 for preparing the ship for navigation. Consequently, the paper provides practical contributions to shore-based safety professionals, ship managers, and masters of the ship since it performs a systematic human reliability assessment and enhances safety control levels in the operational aspect.