A Bayesian Spatial Individual Effects Probit Model of the 2010 U.K. General Election
Jensen, Christa D. and Lacombe, Donald J. and McIntyre, Stuart G. (2011) A Bayesian Spatial Individual Effects Probit Model of the 2010 U.K. General Election. Discussion paper. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.
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Abstract
The Conservative Party emerged from the 2010 United Kingdom General Election as the largest single party, but their support was not geographically uniform. In this paper, we estimate a hierarchical Bayesian spatial probit model that tests for the presence of regional voting effects. This model allows for the estimation of individual region-specific effects on the probability of Conservative Party success, incorporating information on the spatial relationships between the regions of the mainland United Kingdom. After controlling for a range of important covariates, we find that these spatial relationships are significant and that our individual region-specific effects estimates provide additional evidence of NorthSouth variations in Conservative Party support.
ORCID iDs
Jensen, Christa D., Lacombe, Donald J. and McIntyre, Stuart G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0640-7544;-
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Item type: Monograph(Discussion paper) ID code: 67957 Dates: DateEvent9 November 2011PublishedNotes: Published as a paper within the Discussion Papers in Economics, No. 12-01 (2011). Paper presented at the North American Regional Science Conference, Miami, Florida (November 9-12, 2011). Subjects: Political Science
Social Sciences > Communities. Classes. Races > Regional economics. Space in economicsDepartment: Strathclyde Business School > Economics Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 22 May 2019 10:58 Last modified: 13 Nov 2024 13:47 Related URLs: URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/67957