Modelling the impact over time - consumer transport [Chapter 9]

Alabi, O. and Turner, K. (2017) Modelling the impact over time - consumer transport [Chapter 9]. In: The Economic Impact of Hydrogen and Fuel Cells in the UK. H2FC SUPERGEN, London, pp. 121-131.

[img]
Preview
Text (Alabi-Turner-2017-Modelling-the-impact-over-time-consumer-transport)
Alabi_Turner_2017_Modelling_the_impact_over_time_consumer_transport.pdf
Final Published Version

Download (498kB)| Preview

    Abstract

    This chapter considers a few simple scenarios that introduce some potential scale to the input-output multiplier model analyses in Chapters 3, 4 and 6 in considering the potential wider economic impacts of a projected shift to a hydrogen economy. Again, focus is mainly on the case of private transportation and the shift from petrol/diesel (refined fossil fuels) to hydrogen, with the supply chain of the latter proxied by those of the existing UK gas and/or electricity supply sectors. The key characteristic of these proxies is the markedly stronger up-stream supply chain linkages within the UK economy as compared to the more import-intensive refined fuel supply industry. A central conclusion of the modelling work in this paper is that if a future hydrogen sector shares this characteristic, net positive impacts on the UK economy as whole are likely when/if private transportation transitions to the use of hydrogen as a fuel source.