Institutional stimuli and individual response as explanations of turnout : the 2009 EP election

Rose, Richard and Borz, Gabriela (2013) Institutional stimuli and individual response as explanations of turnout : the 2009 EP election. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 23 (4). pp. 405-422. ISSN 1745-7289

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Abstract

This article sets out a social psychological theory of voting behaviour that integrates stimuli from institutions; perceptions of stimuli from such institutions as the media and government; and individual predispositions to respond. It thus clarifies the confusion caused in the classic Michigan model, which treats perceptions as individual attributes without regard to institutional stimuli. Multi-level statistical analysis of turnout at the 2009 European Parliament election shows that, after controlling for individual predispositions, institutional stimuli have a substantial effect on behaviour both contextually and by shaping individual perceptions.