Revisiting The Effect of the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion on Migration

Connolly, Laura and Hampton, Matt and Lenhart, Otto (2022) Revisiting The Effect of the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion on Migration. Discussion paper. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.

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Abstract

We revisit the impact of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion on interstate migration to determine the longer-run effects of the policy. Using American Community Survey data from 2010-2019 and a difference-in-differences (DiD) research design, we test for changes in migratory trends between expansion and non-expansion states. In contrast with prior findings examining short-run effects, we find evidence of increased migration from non-expansion-toexpansion states among those with Medicaid coverage after the policy change. Staggered DiD methods indicate that increases in net migration to expansion states are driven by reduced out-migration from expansion states.

ORCID iDs

Connolly, Laura, Hampton, Matt and Lenhart, Otto ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0949-4820;