Price discovery between Bitcoin spot markets and exchange traded products

Gemayel, Roland and Franus, Tatiana and Bowden, James (2023) Price discovery between Bitcoin spot markets and exchange traded products. Economics Letters, 228. 111152. ISSN 0165-1765 (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111152)

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Abstract

We examine price discovery dynamics between Bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs) and spot markets on centralised cryptocurrency exchanges. We apply four popular price discovery measures to ETP and spot transaction data between August 2021 and July 2022. Our results show that price discovery is dominated by the spot market across all measures and sampling frequencies. This implies that ETP markets play a smaller role in the incorporation of new information about Bitcoin prices, and that informed investors largely prefer to trade on spot markets that offer significantly deeper liquidity and operate round the clock.

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