Geometric ergodicity and conditional self-weighted M-estimator of a GRCAR(p) model with heavy‐tailed errors

Li, Xiaoyan and Pan, Jiazhu and Song, Anchao (2023) Geometric ergodicity and conditional self-weighted M-estimator of a GRCAR(p) model with heavy‐tailed errors. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 44 (4). pp. 418-436. ISSN 0143-9782 (https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12680)

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Abstract

We establish the geometric ergodicity for general stochastic functional autoregressive (linear and nonlinear) models with heavy-tailed errors. The stationarity conditions for a generalized random coefficient autoregressive model (GRCAR($p$)) are presented as a corollary. And then, a conditional self-weighted M-estimator for parameters in the GRCAR($p$) is proposed. The asymptotic normality of this estimator is discussed by allowing infinite variance innovations. Simulation experiments are carried out to assess the finite-sample performance of the proposed methodology and theory, and a real heavy-tailed data example is given as illustration.