Political institutions and coups in dictatorships
Kim, Nam Kyu and Sudduth, Jun Koga (2021) Political institutions and coups in dictatorships. Comparative Political Studies, 54 (9). pp. 1597-1628. ISSN 0010-4140 (https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414021997161)
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Abstract
Does the creation of nominally democratic institutions help dictators stay in power by diminishing the risk of coups? We posit that the effectiveness of political institutions in deterring coups crucially depends on the types of plotters and their political goals. By providing a means to address the ruling coalition's primary concerns about a dictator's opportunism or incompetence, institutions reduce the necessity of reshuffling coups, in which the ruling coalition replaces an incumbent leader but keeps the regime intact. However, such institutions do not diminish the risk of regime-changing coups, because the plotters' goals of overthrowing the entire regime and changing the group of ruling coalition are not achievable via activities within the institutions. Our empirical analysis provides strong empirical support for our expectations. Our findings highlight that the role of "democratic" institutions in deterring coups is rather limited as it only applies to less than 38% of coup attempts.
ORCID iDs
Kim, Nam Kyu and Sudduth, Jun Koga ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3319-3382;-
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Item type: Article ID code: 75457 Dates: DateEvent31 August 2021Published3 March 2021Published Online18 January 2021AcceptedSubjects: Political Science Department: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences (HaSS) > Government and Public Policy > Politics Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 16 Feb 2021 16:28 Last modified: 12 Dec 2024 10:57 URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/75457