The Just Transition Challenge : Avoiding Carbon Leakage and Jobs Off-Shoring in Decarbonising International Supply Chains
Turner, Karen and Katris, Antonios and de Vries, Frans P. and Low, Ragne (2018) The Just Transition Challenge : Avoiding Carbon Leakage and Jobs Off-Shoring in Decarbonising International Supply Chains. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow. (https://doi.org/10.17868/66207)
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Abstract
Industrial decarbonisation is a major challenge in terms of both emissions reduction and the ‘just transition’ element of the 2015 Paris Agreement. It raises issues of potential carbon leakage and associated offshoring of jobs and economic value (GDP) if carbon reduction policies impact the location decisions of industry. We use economic multiplier metrics to help quantify the extent of these potential displacement effects. Focussing on cement production as a particular decarbonisation challenge, we demonstrate that displacement of currently EU-based production activity could potentially lead to reductions in domestic jobs and GDP, combined with a net increase in global CO2 emissions. Our key conclusion is that a strong argument exists to address the industrial decarbonisation challenge where emissions are currently located. The ‘just transition’ element of the Paris agreement emphasises the need to retain and grow jobs and GDP whilst meeting climate targets in the long term. This will always be a preferable outcome over jobs off-shoring/GDP loss and not meeting targets in the short and long term.
ORCID iDs
Turner, Karen, Katris, Antonios ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9352-2307, de Vries, Frans P. and Low, Ragne;-
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Item type: Report ID code: 66207 Dates: DateEvent27 November 2018PublishedNotes: A 'policy brief' published by the University of Strathclyde's Centre for Energy Policy, as part of the International Public Policy Institute (IPPI). Subjects: Social Sciences > Industries. Land use. Labor
Social Sciences > CommerceDepartment: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences (HaSS) > International Public Policy Institute (IPPI) Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 23 Nov 2018 16:25 Last modified: 05 Oct 2024 00:12 Related URLs: URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/66207