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The political economy of Scotland's population decline

Webster, David (2000) The political economy of Scotland's population decline. Quarterly Economic Commentary, 25 (2). pp. 40-70. ISSN 0306-7866

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The population of Scotland is declining, both absolutely and relatively to the rest of the UK. Decline in the Scottish population relative to the rest of the UK is not new. In fact it has been continuous at least since 1851. But a prolonged period of absolute decline such as we are currently seeing is new; the only significant previous decline was by a rather small 40,000 in the 1920s. Since 1974 there has been a fall of about 100,000 and the decline is now projected to extend into the foreseeable future, accelerating after 2020.