The Scottish economy [April 1977]

Carruth, Alan A. and Danson, Michael W. and Duignan, John and Glassford, M. E. and Kirwan, Frank X. and Simpson, David R. F. and Wingfield, Alison A., Fraser of Allander Institute (1977) The Scottish economy [April 1977]. Quarterly Economic Commentary, 2 (4). pp. 6-34. ISSN 0306-7866

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The Scottish economy is between recession and recovery. If one were to judge the future only by prospective aggregate demand, then the outlook would be one of prolonged stagnation. Certainly, the slow growth which is foreseen for world trade is bound to keep order books low for many of Scotland's traditional export industries. Whatever the outcome of the negotiations concerning the next state of incomes policy, even if there is no agreed policy at all, it is difficult to foresee any rapid expansion of the UK market. While particular groups may benefit from the absence of an incomes policy, the government will feel bound to contain the overall growth of domestic demand. Further analysis of Scotland's current economic health is provided, as too is some consideration of Scotland's potential for entrepreneurial activity.