Statistical profiling of site wind resource speed and directional characteristics
Stephen, Bruce and Galloway, Stuart and McMillan, David and Anderson, Lucy and Ault, Graham (2013) Statistical profiling of site wind resource speed and directional characteristics. IET Renewable Power Generation, 7 (6). pp. 583-592. ISSN 1752-1416 (https://doi.org/10.1049/iet-rpg.2012.0202)
Text.
Filename: Stephen_etal_RPG_2013_statistical_profiling_of_site_wind_resource_speed.pdf
Accepted Author Manuscript Download (694kB) |
Abstract
Construction of a wind farm without a reliable plant margin forecast can jeopardize potential returns on investment from the outset. Meteorological and topological factors influence the wind characteristics across any site which in turn affects wind farm output, critical for localized generation, and also the dynamic loading of the turbine structure. The models developed in this paper follow the generally advocated use of probability density estimation as a means of representing wind resource characteristics but, owing to difference in characterization that may be encountered, do not assume a single distribution form across all sites. A mixture modelling approach is adopted that removes the need for choosing distribution forms on a site by site basis. Advancing previous work constructing statistical distributions over congruent wind speed and direction observations of the wind resource characteristics at a given site, the proposed model, as a consequence of using a mixture distribution, captures both recurring regimes in the site behaviour along with their frequency of occurrence. Preliminary results using data sets from a diverse range of locations in Scotland demonstrate the variation in the forms of model learned; comparisons of the model with current and alternate practices are given through visualization and resource assessment illustrations.
ORCID iDs
Stephen, Bruce ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7502-8129, Galloway, Stuart ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1978-993X, McMillan, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3030-4702, Anderson, Lucy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9798-9454 and Ault, Graham ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6369-4300;-
-
Item type: Article ID code: 43805 Dates: DateEventNovember 2013Published31 October 2013Published OnlineSubjects: Technology > Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Department: Faculty of Engineering > Electronic and Electrical Engineering Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 14 May 2013 08:42 Last modified: 03 Oct 2024 00:22 Related URLs: URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/43805