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Modelling the influence of decision makers on the future

Eden, Colin (1977) Modelling the influence of decision makers on the future. Futures, 9 (4). pp. 272-284. ISSN 0016-3287

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The article describes attempts to use futures research in a specific framework: the development of a model to be used as a basis for action within a UK local authority. The model is thus designed to explore the ramifications of the decision-making activities of real people within a specific organisation. It represents an original attempt to include explicitly the acts of human endeavour which influence the direction of the future within a model for indicating possible futures. The author describes the current state of the model-building activity which is intended to depict the policy-making process. The model is based upon concepts drawn from the fields of cognitive psychology and sociology.