A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK General Election

Jensen, Christa and Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart (2013) A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK General Election. Papers in Regional Science. ISSN 1056-8190

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00415.x

Abstract

The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio-economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond an incumbent's own constituency.

Creators(s):	Jensen, Christa, Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0640-7544;
Item type:	Article
ID code:	43130
Keywords:	spatial econometrics, spatial voting analysis, 2010 UK General Election, Economic Theory, Environmental Science (miscellaneous), Geography, Planning and Development
Subjects:	Social Sciences > Economic Theory
Department:	Strathclyde Business School > Economics
Depositing user:	Pure Administrator
Date deposited:	05 Mar 2013 10:44
Last modified:	20 Jan 2021 20:35
Related URLs:	Scopus publication
URI:	https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/43130
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