A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK General Election

Jensen, Christa and Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart (2013) A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK General Election. Papers in Regional Science. ISSN 1056-8190

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Abstract

The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio-economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond an incumbent's own constituency.

ORCID iDs

Jensen, Christa, Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0640-7544;
  • Item type:Article
    ID code:43130
    Dates:
    Date
    Event
    2013
    Published
    7 February 2012
    Published Online
    Keywords:spatial econometrics, spatial voting analysis, 2010 UK General Election, Economic Theory, Environmental Science (miscellaneous), Geography, Planning and Development
    Subjects:Social Sciences > Economic Theory
    Department:Strathclyde Business School > Economics
    Depositing user: Pure Administrator
    Date deposited:05 Mar 2013 10:44
    Last modified:05 Mar 2021 04:50
    Related URLs:
    URI:https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/43130
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