Picture map of Europe with pins indicating European capital cities

Open Access research with a European policy impact...

The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde's Open Access research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by Strathclyde researchers, including by researchers from the European Policies Research Centre (EPRC).

EPRC is a leading institute in Europe for comparative research on public policy, with a particular focus on regional development policies. Spanning 30 European countries, EPRC research programmes have a strong emphasis on applied research and knowledge exchange, including the provision of policy advice to EU institutions and national and sub-national government authorities throughout Europe.

Explore research outputs by the European Policies Research Centre...

Multivariate elicitation : association, copulae, and graphical models

Daneshkhah, Alireza and Bedford, Tim (2011) Multivariate elicitation : association, copulae, and graphical models. In: Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. John Wiley & Sons Inc.. ISBN 9780470400630

Full text not available in this repository. Request a copy from the Strathclyde author

Abstract

In practical elicitation problems, we very often wish to elicit from the expert her knowledge about more than one uncertain quantity. When these are considered independent, the uncertainty about them is characterized simply by their marginal distributions; so it is sufficient to elicit the expert's knowledge about the quantities separately. When the independence assumption between the uncertain quantities of interest is not reasonable or has to be explored, the elicitation process becomes more complex. This is where we need to elicit information about the association between the variables in some way. Unfortunately, despite the growing literature about elicitation, this is an area where there is very little guidance to be found. In this article, we present some methods proposed in the literature to specify a multivariate distribution. We focus on the methods that use copulae and vines to construct a joint probability distribution. They enable us to build a multivariate distribution based on the elicited marginal distributions and their dependencies.