Strathprints logo
Strathprints Home | Open Access | Browse | Search | User area | Copyright | Help | Library Home | SUPrimo

Valence politics in Scotland: towards an explanation of the 2007 election

Johns, R. and Mitchell, J. and Denver, D. and Pattie, C. (2009) Valence politics in Scotland: towards an explanation of the 2007 election. Political Studies, 57 (1). pp. 207-233. ISSN 0032-3217

Full text not available in this repository. (Request a copy from the Strathclyde author)

Abstract

In this article we use evidence from the Scottish Election Study 2007 to build an explanation for the narrow SNP victory in the Holyrood election. The theoretical focus is on valence models of voting, which are increasingly important in Scotland following dealignment and ideological convergence in the party system, and as Scottish governments flex their executive muscle. Exploring the valence battleground reveals mixed but overall negative evaluations of Labour's performance in government, and suggests advantages for the SNP on issue competence, leadership and party image. Modelling party choice at the individual level shows that key valence variables - performance evaluations, economic competence and party image - have strong and significant effects, unlike hitherto prominent factors like religion, class and national identity. Constitutional preferences are important too, but their effects suggest a further valence link: the SNP's strong showing among voters seeking further devolution but opposed to independence is due in large part to its credentials as a battler for Scottish interests. In contrast, Labour's stand against 'more powers' may have tarnished its own reputation on that score.We conclude that the SNP edged home by persuading enough voters that it had a positive agenda for governing Scotland within the current constitutional arrangements, and that it could deliver on that agenda.

Item type: Article
ID code: 17878
Keywords: Scotland, election, Scottish National Party, SNP, valence models, Scotland, Sociology and Political Science
Subjects: Political Science > Political institutions (Europe) > Scotland
Department: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences (HaSS) > School of Government and Public Policy > Politics
Related URLs:
    Depositing user: Strathprints Administrator
    Date Deposited: 05 May 2010 18:28
    Last modified: 05 Sep 2014 03:19
    URI: http://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/17878

    Actions (login required)

    View Item