Picture of a sphere with binary code

Making Strathclyde research discoverable to the world...

The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde research outputs. It exposes Strathclyde's world leading Open Access research to many of the world's leading resource discovery tools, and from there onto the screens of researchers around the world.

Explore Strathclyde Open Access research content

Identification of long-term scenarios of electricity network development

Elders, I.M. and Ault, G.W. and Galloway, S.J. and McDonald, J.R. (2005) Identification of long-term scenarios of electricity network development. In: 2005 International Conference on Future Power Systems, 2005-11-18.

Full text not available in this repository. (Request a copy from the Strathclyde author)

Abstract

This paper describes a process for generating scenarios of future electricity network development, and of technologies which might be applied in the electricity supply industry under different future circumstances. The process begins by considering scenarios at the most distant timeframe desired, and then working backwards to identify a set of shorterterm scenarios which interpolate between the long-term picture and current circumstances and trends. The paper discusses important factors which are taken into account in the initial longterm scenario generation, and in the identification of their corresponding shorter-term counterparts. The process is illustrated using its results in generating sets of scenarios, addressing the years 2020 and 2050, of future development of the electricity system in Great Britain. Examples of the resulting medium and long-term scenarios are described and illustrated pictorially.