Setting the Scene : Wales on the eve of the 2026 Senedd Election

Ifan, Guto and Poole, Ed Gareth and Roberts, Owain (2026) Setting the Scene : Wales on the eve of the 2026 Senedd Election. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow.

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Abstract

This report provides an assessment of the Welsh Government’s budget during the Sixth Senedd term (2021-26), examining how both the funding and the pattern of public spending have evolved over that period. It is intended to inform policy debates ahead of the May 2026 Senedd elections by offering an evidence base against which parties’ fiscal commitments and spending priorities can be assessed.