Economy : forecast summary

Scottish Fiscal Commission (2025) Economy : forecast summary. In: , (ed.) Scotland's Economic and Fiscal Forecasts. Scottish Fiscal Commission, Edinburgh, pp. 68-83. ISBN 9781911637776

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Abstract

Over the past year, the Scottish economy and labour market have performed slightly better than we expected in December 2023, but broadly on track with our last forecast. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has increased marginally after being flat since early 2022, and nominal earnings growth has remained relatively strong in a still tight labour market. Stronger earnings growth, combined with lower inflation than expected a year ago, has resulted in living standards recovering more rapidly from their fall in 2022-23.