Modelling Packages to Meet Scotland's Child Poverty Targets : Scenarios, Benefits and Trade-offs

Congreve, Emma and Kumar, Ashwin and Harrison, Jordan and Watts, Rob and McGregor, Peter and Connolly, Kevin and McHardy, Fiona and Cowan, Neil (2022) Modelling Packages to Meet Scotland's Child Poverty Targets : Scenarios, Benefits and Trade-offs. Fraser of Allander Institute, Glasgow. (

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Around 1 in 4 children in Scotland live in relative poverty. This means they live in a household with an income 60% below the UK median income after housing costs have been deducted. Child poverty can have serious and lifelong impacts across a range of outcomes, and the Scottish Government have stated their aim to reduce significantly the incidence of child poverty. The Child Poverty (Scotland) Act 2017 includes a target to reduce relative child poverty to 10% by 2030/31. The baseline child poverty level is estimated to be 25% in 2020 compared to 24% in the most recent period (2017- 20). Meeting the target would represent an unprecedented reduction in child poverty to levels not seen in Scotland certainly since the early 1990s when the current statistical series began. Our latest report looks at some of the large, national level, devolved policy levers that the Scottish Government could use to meet the targets. We have focussed on childcare, employability programmes and social security. These are not the only options that the Scottish Government could take forward but are examples of structural policies that are capable of having a significant impact on household incomes and are Scotland wide in their reach.


Congreve, Emma, Kumar, Ashwin, Harrison, Jordan, Watts, Rob, McGregor, Peter ORCID logoORCID:, Connolly, Kevin ORCID logoORCID:, McHardy, Fiona and Cowan, Neil;

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