A Bayesian Spatial Econometric Analysis of the 2010 UK General Election
Jensen, Christa and Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart (2010) A Bayesian Spatial Econometric Analysis of the 2010 UK General Election. Discussion paper. University of Strathclyde, Glasgow.
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Abstract
The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio-economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond the incumbents own constituency
ORCID iDs
Jensen, Christa, Lacombe, Donald and McIntyre, Stuart ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0640-7544;-
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Item type: Monograph(Discussion paper) ID code: 67815 Dates: DateEvent5 April 2010PublishedNotes: Published as a paper within the Discussion Papers in Economics, No. 10-24 (2010) Subjects: Social Sciences > Economic Theory
Political Science
Social Sciences > StatisticsDepartment: Strathclyde Business School > Economics Depositing user: Pure Administrator Date deposited: 14 May 2019 11:51 Last modified: 11 Oct 2024 00:10 URI: https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/67815