National identity and party affiliation are set to play a key role in the Scottish referendum, whose result is more uncertain than opinion polls suggest

Van Der Zwet, Arno and McAngus, Craig (2013) National identity and party affiliation are set to play a key role in the Scottish referendum, whose result is more uncertain than opinion polls suggest. London School of Economics, London.

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Abstract

This blog entry explores how Scottish attitudes to the two options vary according to national and party identity. They find that perceptions of national identity polarise assessments of Scotland's performance under independence more so than they do for DevoMax. Also, people's assessments of Scotland's future do not always match their actual constitutional preferences, suggesting that the referendum result is more uncertain than opinion polls may suggest.