The economic impacts of marine energy developments : a case study from Scotland

Allan, Grant and Lecca, Patrizio and McGregor, Peter and Swales, John (2013) The economic impacts of marine energy developments : a case study from Scotland. Marine Policy. ISSN 0308-597X

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Abstract

Delivering the ambitious renewable energy targets set by the Scottish Government will require significant expenditures. Plans have been set out to develop 1.6 GW of marine (wave and tidal) energy capacity between 2010 and 2020 in the Pentland Firth and Orkney Waters area (off the north coast of Scotland) with construction costs estimated at £6 billion. This paper uses multi-sectoral economic models to explore the impact that these (temporary) expenditures could have on the Scottish economy. It is shown that the standard Input–Output (IO) modelling approach significantly overstates the employment and value added impacts compared to Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) methods—in which short-run scarcity of factors of production are explicitly modelled. CGE results (under myopic and forward-looking model specifications) produce smaller impacts during the timespan of expenditures but, unlike IO methods, identify non-trivial “legacy effects” after the expenditures cease.

Creators(s): Allan, Grant ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1404-2768, Lecca, Patrizio, McGregor, Peter ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1221-7963 and Swales, John;
Item type:Article
ID code:44097
Keywords:marine energy, regional economic impact modelling, case study, scotland, renewable energy targets, scottish government, wave and tidal energy, pentland firth, orkney waters, Regional economics. Space in economics, Environmental engineering, Environmental Science(all), Economics and Econometrics, Aquatic Science, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, Law
Subjects:Social Sciences > Communities. Classes. Races > Regional economics. Space in economics
Technology > Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) > Environmental engineering
Department:Strathclyde Business School > Economics
Depositing user: Pure Administrator
Date deposited:18 Jun 2013 09:01
Last modified:08 Jul 2020 01:11
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URI:https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/44097
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