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Demographic change and the housing market : evidence from a comparison of Scotland and England

Wright, R.E. and Levin, E. J. and Montagnoli, A. (2009) Demographic change and the housing market : evidence from a comparison of Scotland and England. Urban Studies, 46 (1). pp. 27-43. ISSN 0042-0980

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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of demographic change on the housing market. More specifically, a difference-in-differences methodology is used to explore the effect of population decline and population ageing on house prices in Scotland and England/Wales. The analysis suggests that population decline and population ageing put downward pressure on prices. Therefore, the long-run trend of rising real house prices can not be assumed to continue into the future, particularly in Scotland.