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The vector floor and ceiling model

Koop, G.M. and Potter, S. (2006) The vector floor and ceiling model. In: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of the Business Cycle (Contributions to Economic Analysis series). Elsevier. ISBN 044451838X

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    Abstract

    This paper motivates and develops a nonlinear extension of the Vector Autoregressive model which we call the Vector Floor and Ceiling model. Bayesian and classical methods for estimation and testing are developed and compared in the context of an application involving U.S. macroeconomic data. In terms of statistical significance both classical and Bayesian methods indicate that the (Gaussian) linear model is inadequate. Using impulse response functions we investigate the economic significance of the statistical analysis. We find evidence of strong nonlinearities in the contemporaneous relationships between the variables and milder evidence of nonlinearity in the conditional mean.

    Item type: Book Section
    ID code: 7260
    Notes: Working paper version
    Keywords: nonlinearity, bayesian, vector autoregression, econometrics, Commerce, Economic Theory, Statistics
    Subjects: Social Sciences > Commerce
    Social Sciences > Economic Theory
    Social Sciences > Statistics
    Department: Strathclyde Business School > Economics
    Related URLs:
    Depositing user: Strathprints Administrator
    Date Deposited: 04 Dec 2008 16:42
    Last modified: 18 Mar 2012 10:15
    URI: http://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/7260

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