Modelling the effects of variable tariffs on domestic electric load profiles by use of occupant behavior submodels

Fischer, David and Stephen, Bruce and Flunk, Alexander and Kreifels, Niklas and Byskov Lindberg, Karen and Wille-Haussmann, Bernhard and Owens, Edward H. (2016) Modelling the effects of variable tariffs on domestic electric load profiles by use of occupant behavior submodels. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid. ISSN 1949-3053 (https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2016.2544141)

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Abstract

Emerging infrastructure for residential meter communication and data processing carries the potential to control household electrical demand within local power system constraints. Deferral of load control can be incentivised through electricity tariff price structure which can in turn reshape a daily load profile. This paper presents a stochastic bottom-up model designed to predict the change in domestic electricity profile invoked by consumer reaction to electricity unit price, with submodels comprising user behaviour, price response and dependency between behaviour and electric demand. The developed models are used to analyse the demand side management potential of the most relevant energy consuming activities through a simulated German household demonstrating that in the given scenario 8% of the annual electricity demand is shifted, leading to a 35e annual saving. However, a 7% higher than average peak load results from the structure of the tariff signal modelled herein. A discussion on selected aspects for tariff design for categories of typical household appliances is included.

  • Item type:Article
    ID code:55942
    Dates:
    Date
    Event
    22 March 2016
    Published
    22 March 2016
    Published Online
    17 March 2016
    Accepted
    Notes:© 2016 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
    Subjects:Technology > Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
    Department:Faculty of Engineering > Electronic and Electrical Engineering
    Depositing user: Pure Administrator
    Date deposited:18 Mar 2016 11:45
    Last modified:14 Apr 2024 00:35
    Related URLs:
    URI:https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/id/eprint/55942
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