Macdonald, Iain and Strachan, Paul A. (2001) Practical application of uncertainty analysis. Energy and Buildings, 33 (3). pp. 219-227. ISSN 0378-7788Full text not available in this repository. (Request a copy from the Strathclyde author)
Uncertainty analysis, based on Differential Sensitivity Analysis and Monte Carlo Analysis, has been used in several research projects in order to estimate reliability of results, especially in empirical validation-based projects where both measured and predicted uncertainty bands need to be evaluated. However, such analyses have been time-consuming, involving either repetitive manual changing of the input parameters followed by a simulation run, or involving the writing of specific programs to automate the process. Their use has, in consequence, been restricted. This paper reviews the sources of uncertainty in the predictions from thermal simulation programs. It then describes how uncertainty analysis has been incorporated into the thermal simulation program ESP-r. An example of its application is given.
|Keywords:||building simulation, uncertainty analysis, risk analysis, sensitivity analysis, Mechanical engineering and machinery, Building and Construction, Civil and Structural Engineering, Mechanical Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering|
|Subjects:||Technology > Mechanical engineering and machinery|
|Department:||Faculty of Engineering > Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering|
|Depositing user:||Strathprints Administrator|
|Date Deposited:||05 Jan 2008|
|Last modified:||13 May 2016 03:42|