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The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by University of Strathclyde researchers, including those from the School of Psychological Sciences & Health - but also papers by researchers based within the Faculties of Science, Engineering, Humanities & Social Sciences, and from the Strathclyde Business School.

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Dose-response relationships for Foot and Mouth disease in cattle and sheep

French, N.P. and Kelly, L.A. and Kosmider, R.D. and Clancy, D. (2002) Dose-response relationships for Foot and Mouth disease in cattle and sheep. Infection and Epidemiology, 128. pp. 325-332. ISSN 0950-2688

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Abstract

The relationships between the inhaled dose of foot and mouth disease virus and the outcomes of infection and disease were examined by fitting dose-response models to experimental data. The parameters for both the exponential and beta-poisson models were estimated using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. The median probability of infection given a single inhaled TCID50 was estimated to be 0·031 with 95% Bayesian credibility intervals (CI) of 0·018-0·052 for cattle, and 0·045 (CI = 0·024-0·080) for sheep. These estimates were used to construct dose-response curves and uncertainty distributions for use in quantitative risk assessments.