Risk assessment methodologies for cascading outages : part I — overview of methodologies

Vaiman, M. and Bell, Keith and Chen, Yousu and Chowdhury, B. and Dobson, I. and Hines, P. and Papic, M. and Miller, S.S. and Zhang, Pei; (2011) Risk assessment methodologies for cascading outages : part I — overview of methodologies. In: Proceedings of the 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting. IEEE, 1 - 10. ISBN 978-1-4577-1000-1 (https://doi.org/10.1109/PES.2011.6039405)

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Abstract

Cascading outages can cause large blackouts, and a variety of methods are emerging to study this challenging topic. The Understanding, Prediction, Mitigation and Restoration of Cascading Failures Task Force under IEEE Computer Analytical Methods Subcommittee (CAMS) seeks to consolidate and review the progress of the field towards methods and tools of assessing the risk of cascading failure. This paper discusses the challenges of cascading failure and summarises a variety of state-of-the-art analysis and simulation methods, including analyzing observed data, and simulations relying on various probabilistic, deterministic, approximate, and heuristic approaches. Limitations to the interpretation and application of analytical results are highlighted and directions and challenges for future developments are discussed