Picture of Open Access badges

Discover Open Access research at Strathprints

It's International Open Access Week, 24-30 October 2016. This year's theme is "Open in Action" and is all about taking meaningful steps towards opening up research and scholarship. The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde research outputs. Explore recent world leading Open Access research content by University of Strathclyde researchers and see how Strathclyde researchers are committing to putting "Open in Action".


Image: h_pampel, CC-BY

Delays, demography and cycles: a forensic study

Gurney, William and Blythe, S.P. and Stokes, T.K. (1999) Delays, demography and cycles: a forensic study. Advances in Ecological Research, 28. pp. 127-144. ISSN 0065-2504

Full text not available in this repository. (Request a copy from the Strathclyde author)


Strict logic implies that a hypothesis can only be proved wrong, but the main motivation of much science is to find out what is true. In this paper, we argue that the process of intuition building works by extending the classical Popperian paradigm of hypothesis and refutation to include a close relative of the legal concept of “reasonable doubt”. We believe that the way in which doubts are eroded involves building up a consistent picture over a wide ranging body of data-a process akin to the forensic investigations common in the legal process. We illustrate our argument by re-analysing A.J. Nicholson's classical data set on the Australian sheep blowfly Lucilia cuprina. We conclude by discussing the implications of the investigative paradigm we describe for the design of experimental and observational programmes.