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Estimation of parameters for the SDE SIS epidemic model

Pan, Jiafeng and Gray, Alison and Greenhalgh, David and Mao, Xuerong (2012) Estimation of parameters for the SDE SIS epidemic model. In: Workshop on Stochastic Modelling in Ecosystems, 2012-06-11 - 2012-06-12. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

In this paper we estimate the parameters in the stochastic SIS epidemic model by using pseudo maximum likelihood estimation (pseudo-MLE) and least squares estimation. We obtain the point estimators and $100(1-\alpha)\%$ confidence intervals as well as $100(1-\alpha)\%$ joint confidence regions by applying least squares techniques. The pseudo-MLEs have almost the same form as the least squares case. We also obtain the exact as well as the asymptotic $100(1-\alpha)\%$ joint confidence regions for the pseudo-MLEs. Computer simulations are performed to illustrate our theory.