Mcmillan, David and Ault, Graham W. (2012) Wind farm capital cost regression model for accurate life cycle cost estimation. In: PMAPS 2012, 2012-06-10 - 2012-06-14.
McMillan_Ault_PMAPS_2012_Wind_farm_capital_cost_regression_model_for_accurate_life.pdf - Preprint
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Various studies over the last decade have attempted to forecast capital cost of wind power. The main assumption underpinning these models is that cost reductions will accrue indefinitely from technological learning over time. In this paper a regression model is proposed for wind farm capital cost which is based on commodities price and water depth rather than technological learning. With greater simplicity and certainty in the theoretical foundations of such a model, it is possible to gain realistic estimates of wind turbine capital cost. Such pragmatic and well-reasoned output is needed so that wind farm developers can understand their future risk exposure to price fluctuations in capital cost of plant.
|Item type:||Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)|
|Keywords:||wind farm, regression model , cost estimation, accurate life cycle , capital cost , CAPEX, Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering|
|Subjects:||Technology > Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering|
|Department:||Faculty of Engineering > Electronic and Electrical Engineering|
|Depositing user:||Pure Administrator|
|Date Deposited:||21 Sep 2012 14:38|
|Last modified:||11 Oct 2016 00:06|