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On uncertainty and the limits of intelligence

Jackson, Peter (2010) On uncertainty and the limits of intelligence. In: Oxford Handbook of National Security Intelligence. Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 452-471. ISBN 0195375882

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The Handbook discusses national security intelligence within a political and historical context, explaining how intelligence agencies operate and how they collect information from around the world. It examines the problems that come with transforming raw information into credible analysis, and the difficulties involved in disseminating intelligence to policymakers. This chapter focuses on uncertainty and the limits of intelligence.