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Open Access research that challenges the mind...

The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by University of Strathclyde researchers, including those from the School of Psychological Sciences & Health - but also papers by researchers based within the Faculties of Science, Engineering, Humanities & Social Sciences, and from the Strathclyde Business School.

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Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review

Unkel, Steffen and Farrington, C. Paddy and Garthwaite, Paul H. and Robertson, Christopher and Andrews, Nick (2012) Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 175 (1). pp. 49-82. ISSN 0964-1998

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Abstract

Unusual clusters of disease must be detected rapidly for effective public health interventions to be introduced. Over the past decade there has been a surge in interest in statistical methods for the early detection of infectious disease outbreaks.This growth in interest has given rise to much new methodological work, ranging across the spectrum of statistical methods.The paper presents a comprehensive review of the statistical approaches that have been proposed. Applications to both laboratory and syndromic surveillance data are provided to illustrate the various methods