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The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde research outputs.

Strathprints serves world leading Open Access research by the University of Strathclyde, including research by the Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences (SIPBS), where research centres such as the Industrial Biotechnology Innovation Centre (IBioIC), the Cancer Research UK Formulation Unit, SeaBioTech and the Centre for Biophotonics are based.

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Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review

Unkel, Steffen and Farrington, C. Paddy and Garthwaite, Paul H. and Robertson, Christopher and Andrews, Nick (2012) Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 175 (1). pp. 49-82. ISSN 0964-1998

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Abstract

Unusual clusters of disease must be detected rapidly for effective public health interventions to be introduced. Over the past decade there has been a surge in interest in statistical methods for the early detection of infectious disease outbreaks.This growth in interest has given rise to much new methodological work, ranging across the spectrum of statistical methods.The paper presents a comprehensive review of the statistical approaches that have been proposed. Applications to both laboratory and syndromic surveillance data are provided to illustrate the various methods