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The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde's Open Access research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by Strathclyde researchers, including by researchers from the Physical Activity for Health Group based within the School of Psychological Sciences & Health. Research here seeks to better understand how and why physical activity improves health, gain a better understanding of the amount, intensity, and type of physical activity needed for health benefits, and evaluate the effect of interventions to promote physical activity.

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Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review

Unkel, Steffen and Farrington, C. Paddy and Garthwaite, Paul H. and Robertson, Christopher and Andrews, Nick (2012) Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 175 (1). pp. 49-82. ISSN 0964-1998

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Abstract

Unusual clusters of disease must be detected rapidly for effective public health interventions to be introduced. Over the past decade there has been a surge in interest in statistical methods for the early detection of infectious disease outbreaks.This growth in interest has given rise to much new methodological work, ranging across the spectrum of statistical methods.The paper presents a comprehensive review of the statistical approaches that have been proposed. Applications to both laboratory and syndromic surveillance data are provided to illustrate the various methods