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World class computing and information science research at Strathclyde...

The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde's Open Access research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by University of Strathclyde researchers, including by researchers from the Department of Computer & Information Sciences involved in mathematically structured programming, similarity and metric search, computer security, software systems, combinatronics and digital health.

The Department also includes the iSchool Research Group, which performs leading research into socio-technical phenomena and topics such as information retrieval and information seeking behaviour.

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Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with an application to a model of the UK macroeconomy

Jochmann, Markus and Koop, Gary and Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto and Strachan, Rodney W. (2012) Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with an application to a model of the UK macroeconomy. Journal of Applied Econometrics. ISSN 0883-7252

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Abstract

This paper develops methods for stochastic search variable selection (currently popular with regression and vector autoregressive models) for vector error correction models where there are many possible restrictions on the cointegration space. We show how this allows the researcher to begin with a single unrestricted model and either do model selection or model averaging in an automatic and computationally efficient manner. We apply our methods to a large UK macroeconomic model.