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The Strathprints institutional repository is a digital archive of University of Strathclyde's Open Access research outputs. Strathprints provides access to thousands of Open Access research papers by University of Strathclyde researchers, including by researchers from the Department of Computer & Information Sciences involved in mathematically structured programming, similarity and metric search, computer security, software systems, combinatronics and digital health.

The Department also includes the iSchool Research Group, which performs leading research into socio-technical phenomena and topics such as information retrieval and information seeking behaviour.

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Developing distributed generation penetration scenarios

Foote, C.E.T. and Burt, G.M. and Elders, I.M. and Ault, G.W. (2005) Developing distributed generation penetration scenarios. In: Future Power Systems, 2005 International Conference on. IEEE.

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Abstract

The growth of distributed generation requires analysis based on realistic forecasts of future scenarios. This paper presents an original methodology that has been employed to develop penetration scenarios to support further research. The methodology combines top-down and bottom-up approaches to produce robust scenarios. The top-down approach is based on forecasts of total distributed generation at a national level. The bottom-up approach exploits expert opinion to determine the most likely developments under different conditions. The two approaches are combined according to the objectives of the analysis to be supported. The methodology offers a useful tool for scenario development and supports ongoing research in distributed generation.